Risk Management - Overview
This article includes detail discussion
about risk management and risk management processes including importance as
well as its limitations. Practicing risk management, you will be able to
decrease likelihood or impact of threats and increase likelihood or impact of
opportunities.
Risk management refers to the practice
of identifying potential risks, analyzing those identified risks, implementing
proper response to risk factors and monitoring risk on a project. Effective risk management always helps project manager & project team to manage and control future outcomes proactively and helps in achieving defined goals and objectives of the project.
What is Risk Management in project management?
Risk management is the
process of planning, identifying, analyzing, response planning, response
implementation, monitoring and controlling risk or uncertainties on a project
over its whole life cycle. Since, Risk Management should be conducted
throughout life cycle of the project, it is also called as an ongoing and
iterative process.
Risk management
department available in an organisation is responsible to identify risks,
assessing each risk and creating risk response strategies. Risk management is a
broad topic
which plays major role for project's success.
The main objectives of risk management are to increase the likelihood or impact of positive risks (opportunities) and to decrease the likelihood or impact of negative risks (threats). This objective play important role towards success of projects.
Risk management strategies may vary on size and complexity of
the projects. On large complex projects, risk management strategies generally
include highly detailed planning for each risk to ensure mitigation strategies
are in place if issues arise. For smaller simple kind of projects, meaning of risk
management is to prioritize risk as low, medium and high priority risks. Generally,
risk manager in collaboration with the project manager or other high-level
oversight is responsible to drive risk management process.
Define Risk and list out few sources of Risk?
Risk can be defined as an event that has potential impact
on schedule, budget, resource or overall performance of the project. Therefore,
it can be said that risk is the main cause of uncertainty in any organisation. So, all
organizations need to be focused on identifying and managing them before it
impacts negatively on business.
Risks are the events that could occur, but no one knows when
it will occur. It means risk are uncertain, so it needs vast preparation to
manage them effectively. On the other hand, issues are certain to happen. Sources
of risk can be either internal or external. Internal risks are in direct
control of management and include noncompliance or information breaches among
several others. On the other hand, external risks are not in direct control of
the management and may include interest rates, potential issues, exchange rates
etc.
Sources of risks or threats may include strategic management errors,
financial uncertainty, legal liabilities, accidents and natural disasters. The
main aim of risk management is to identify and manage risks that are not
addressed by other project management processes.
What are the differences between Risks and Issues?
Risks and issues are two different confusing terms used while we are
going to discuss about risk management. But these two terms are as much simpler
to understand. A risk is an event which is not happening
currently. Means to say, risk is always planned. On the other hand, issue is an
event which is happening currently and needs to be taken care of.
Simply, we can say
that, a risk when it occurs become an issue. Let’s start differentiating between risk
and issues.
Risks
|
Issues
|
A risk is an event that has no effect at present time but has some probability of occurring in future..
|
An issue is an event that has already happened.
|
Risk has either
positive or negative impact on objectives of the project.
|
Issues has impacted or
currently impacting the objectives of the project.
|
We need to take either preventive
action before or need to mitigate it after risk occurs.
|
Appropriate corrective action
needs to be implemented against issues.
|
Risks has mostly negative impact and
occasional positive impact
|
Issues always have negative
impact.
|
Once risk is identified, it needs
to prioritize, its impact should be analyzed, and the response plan should be
prepared.
|
Once the impact of issue is analyzed,
the same should be resolved or escalated.
|
Identified risks should be maintained
in risk register.
|
Issue log are used to keep
records of issues.
|
Example: Critical resource may
resign during execution period of the project.
|
Example: Critical resource
resigned, effective immediately. No replacement was assigned yet.
|
What are the common types of Risk Categories?
Risk categorization provides idea to group individual project
risks. Risk breakdown structure (RBS) is hierarchical representation of
potential risk and is also known most effective way to structure risk.
Project manager and team needs to decide acceptable range of
risks for the projects. Critical risk cause vital harm on project’s success.
The most common risk categories can be listed out
as below:
- Internal risk
Schedule, cost, scope
changes, inexperience team resources, issue with physical resources, etc.
- External risk
Competition,
regulatory, environmental, facilities, government, legislation, market shifts,
issues with project sites, etc.
- Management risk
Organization,
communication, project management, program management, portfolio management,
operation management, etc.
- Technical risk
Changes in
technology, technical process & interfaces, definition of scope and
requirements, assumption & constraints, etc.
- Commercial risk
Stability of
customer, suppliers, vendors, subcontracts, contractual terms and conditions,
procurement, etc.
- Unforeseeable risk
Small portion of risks (say about 10%) are unforeseeable.
Why is Risk Management Important to projects?
Risk management is an
important practice or process of an organization which helps project manager
and team to plan, identify, analyse, monitor and mitigate the risks present in
the project environment.
Proper
management of individual as well as overall risk play important role for
success of projects. So, risk management is critical for any organization
whether it’s large or small.
Some important benefits of risk management include:
- Helps to identify potential risks and provides proper idea to project manager for mitigation.
- Helps to identify potential opportunities that may be hidden and provides idea to maximize it.
- Helps in protecting business from heavy losses by establishing procedures to avoid potential threats and minimize their impact on business environment.
- Helps organization to define objectives for the future by preventing losing direction if any of the risks suddenly occurs.
- Helps to create secure work environment for all stakeholders in an organization.
- Helps to protect both physical as well as team resources from any potential harm.
- Helps organization to reach their goals and defined objectives for successful completion of projects.
- Helps to identify and avoid the potential cost, schedule, and overall performance of the project, take appropriate approach to manage and respond to negative outcomes if they occur.
What are the limitations of Risk Management?
We
all know that there are huge benefits of using risk management process in an
organization, but it also has few limitations listed as below:
- The risk management process is highly detailed, complex and time consuming.
- The risk management process defines broad sets of risk categories in which identified risks are to be placed.
- Risks evaluation process and its result are usually uncertain/ inaccurate.
- It's difficult to fully understand the complete picture of cumulative risk.
- Cost effective risk management process is quite difficult to generate. It may require gathering large amounts of data which can be somehow expensive, and it needs funds from organisation.
- Proper training requires for the purpose of ensuring proper execution of risk management. Also highly trained personnel may require analyzing historical data for identifying risks.
- For risk analysis, Simulation may require with the help of specific software programs which also requires expert trained personnel with comprehensive knowledge and skills
What is Risk Management Process?
Risk management process is a framework for the
actions which reflects the dynamic nature of project work. A risk register is
an important project document which is used to gather identified risks, risk
analysis techniques, risk responses strategy, and to assign clear ownership of
actions.
As per PMBOK (Project management body of knowledge) guide sixth edition, there are seven
basic steps of risk management which can be called as risk management process.
It starts with plan risk management process and ends with monitor risk process. Let’s start describing
each of the process in detail.
What are the processes of Risk Management?
There are seven steps of risk management processes. Let's describe one-by-one in detail:
1. Plan Risk Management
Plan risk management process is first planning process of project risk management which defines proper way to conduct risk management activities for a project. It also includes time and resource required to perform risk management activities as per project’s requirement.
Project manager needs
to start this process once project is conceived and complete as earliest as
possible. This process provides idea to project manager for categorizing risks,
process for reassessing potential risks and definition of probability and
impact of risk on the project.
The output of this
process is risk management plan which includes methodology for risk management,
risk strategy, funding to perform activities, risk categories, timing for
performing risk management activities, definition of probability and impact
matrix, risk appetite of key stakeholders, risk activities tracking documents
and formats of reporting.
This process is performed once in the project. Inputs, tools & techniques and outputs of this process is as below:
This process is performed once in the project. Inputs, tools & techniques and outputs of this process is as below:
Inputs
|
Tools
& Techniques
|
Outputs
|
Project charter
Project management plan Stakeholder register Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets |
Expert Judgement
Stakeholder analysis Meetings |
Risk management plan
|
2. Identify Risks
Identify risk is the second planning process of project risk management which helps to identify sources of individual as well as overall project risk. It provides appropriate information to project team for the purpose of responding to identified risk in proper manner to reach objectives of the project.
This process is
performed throughout the project. So, this process is also called iterative
process. Sources of risks needs to be collected using methods described in the
risk management plan. Project manager, sponsors, project team, SMEs, customers,
other stakeholders, and risk management experts within the organization should
be participated in risk identification activities.
There
are several types of risks that may arise during project handling. Few of them
are technical risks, legal risks, management risks, environmental risks,
commercial risks market risks, regulatory risks and external risks. Team needs
to identify possible risk factors.
The major output of this process are risk register and risk report. Inputs, tools & techniques and Outputs of this process as below:
The major output of this process are risk register and risk report. Inputs, tools & techniques and Outputs of this process as below:
Inputs
|
Tools
& Techniques
|
Outputs
|
Project management
plan
Project documents Procurement documentation Agreements Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets |
Expert Judgement
Data gathering Data analysis Interpersonal & team skills Prompt lists Meetings |
Risk register
Risk report Project document updates |
3. Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis
Perform qualitative risk analysis is the planning process of project risk management which involves proper prioritization of identified individual risks for further analysis by assessing their probability of occurrence and impact as well as other characteristics. This prioritization can be done into categories like low, medium and high risks.
This process is most
important because it helps to analyse the risks numerically and their effects
on the objectives of the project if the risks occurs. At first, high priority
risk needs to be more focused. Risk to the project can be categorized by sources
of risks using risk breakdown structure (RBS).
Most effective risk
response can be developed by focusing on high risk exposure if grouping of risk
into categories is done. This process is performed throughout the project. Inputs,
tools & techniques and outputs of this process as below:
Inputs
|
Tools
& Techniques
|
Outputs
|
Project management
plan
Project documents Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets |
Expert Judgement
Data gathering Data analysis Interpersonal & team skills Risk categorization Data representation Meetings |
Project document
updates
|
Process 4: Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis
Perform quantitative risk analysis is the process of numerically analyzing the combined effect of identified individual project risks and other sources of uncertainty on overall project objectives.
This process uses
information on individual project risks from perform qualitative risk analysis
process and helps to quantify overall project risk in the project. This process
generally needed for larger or complex projects and requires specialized risk
software for analysis. It is performed throughout the project where this
process is required.
Highly trained personal needed who are having appropriate knowledge and experience on handling risk
software and for developing risk models. This process requires additional time
and fund.
Qualitative risk
analysis uses Monte Carlo analysis techniques for simulation. Simulation
techniques uses cost estimates while running a Monte Carlo analysis for cost
risk. Schedule network diagram and duration estimates are used while running a
Monte Carlo analysis for schedule risk.
Another data analysis
technique used by this process is sensitivity analysis which helps to the risk
having most potential impact on outcomes of the project. Display of sensitivity
analysis is tornado diagram. Inputs, tools & techniques and outputs of this
process as below:
Inputs
|
Tools
& Techniques
|
Outputs
|
Project management
plan
Project documents Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets |
Expert Judgement
Data gathering Data analysis Interpersonal & team skills Representation of uncertainty |
Project documents
updates
|
5. Plan Risk Responses
Plan Risk Responses is the process which helps to reduce probability or impact of negative risk (threats) and increase chances of positive risks (opportunities) by developing options and selecting appropriate strategies. Effective risk responses have ability to minimize threats and maximize opportunities.
This process also helps
to identify proper methods to address individual as well as overall project risks.
This process is performed throughout the project.
PMBOK provides five
strategies in order to deal with threats, opportunities and overall project
risks:
Five Strategies for threats or negative risk response
There are
five basic ways to handle threats.
- Avoid
Avoid means eliminating threats
or its impacts from the project by removing its cause, extending project
schedule, reducing scope or changing strategies.
- Escalate
Escalates a negative risks or
threats to higher management when it is found that threat is outside of scope.
Escalated risk need not to be monitored by project team.
- Transfer
Transferring threats to third
party for managing the risk. Best examples of risk transfer are insurance for
which certain premium amount needs to be paid by the organization to third
party. Others can be performance bonds, guarantee, warranty etc.
- Mitigate
Action required to decrease
probability and impact of threats. If you cannot avoid risk, you can mitigate
it.
- Accept
Low threat can be accepted by the
organization without any proactive action. This strategy can be
used only if you cannot avoid, transfer or mitigate a risk. Acceptance
can be either active or passive.
The most common active
acceptance strategy is to establish a contingency reserve, including
amounts of time, money, or resources to handle the threat if it occurs.
Contingency reserves are for “known unknowns” risks and part of cost baseline
whereas management reserves are for “unknown unknown” risks and not part of the
project cost baseline but included in the budget for the project.
Passive acceptance requires no proactive
action apart from periodic review of the threat to ensure that it does not
change significantly.
Five Strategies for opportunities or positive risk response
Like as
threats, there are five basic ways to handle opportunities.
- Escalate
Escalate strategy
shift responsibility of managing the risk to higher management.
- Exploit
Exploit strategy ensures
opportunities using internal resources. For example, sometimes project manager
uses enough funds and assign best resources to get opportunities.
- Share
Share strategy is all about
sharing ownership of an opportunity to third party. You might call in another
company to share in it with you.
- Enhance
Enhance strategy increase
likelihood or impact of positive risks or opportunities.
- Accept
Accept opportunities if it’s
exists and document it, but do not take any action to realize it. Like as
in strategy for threats, here also acceptance can be either active or passive.
Strategies for overall project risks
The
project manager needs to know the techniques to respond overall project risks.
Strategies for overall project risks are:
- Avoid
- Exploit
- Transfer/ Share
- Mitigate/ Enhance
- Accept
The project manager
should also consider how to respond appropriately to the current level of
overall project risk.
Specific actions are
developed to implement the agreed-upon risk response strategy, including
primary and backup strategies, as necessary. A contingency plan (or fallback
plan) can be developed for implementation if the selected strategy turns out
not to be fully effective or if an accepted risk occurs.
Secondary risks should
also be identified. Secondary risks are risks that arise as a direct result of
implementing a risk response. A contingency reserve is often allocated for time
or cost. If developed, it may include identification of the conditions that
trigger its use.
Inputs
|
Tools
& Techniques
|
Outputs
|
Project management
plan
Project documents Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets |
Expert Judgement
Data gathering Data analysis Interpersonal & team skills Strategies for opportunities Strategies for threats Strategies for overall project risk Contingent response strategies Decision making |
Project management plan updates Project documents updates Change requests |
6. Implement Risk Responses
Implement risk response is the executive process which helps to implement agreed-upon risk response plans and risk owners hold the responsibilities of implementing risk response. This process is newly added in PMBOK guide sixth edition. Project documents are updated as a result of implement risk responses process.
It is necessary to
capture information to the lesson learned register about the behavior of the
project while implementing risk response. Risk register and risk report are
updated with information on response taken, describing details on how well the
responses addresses the risk and suggesting changes to future risk response
plans.
Inputs, tools &
techniques and Outputs of this process are as below:
Inputs
|
Tools
& Techniques
|
Outputs
|
Project management
plan
Project documents Organizational process assets |
Expert Judgement
Interpersonal & team skills Project management information system |
Project documents
updates
Change requests |
7. Monitor Risks
Monitor risks process falls under monitoring and controlling process group. This process helps project manager and team to monitor implementation of risk response plans, tracking identified risks and evaluating risk process effectiveness throughout the project.
It also helps project manager to analyse effectiveness of risk management plan and record lesson learned for future risk events. Major outputs are Change requests and work performance information
The Monitor Risks
process includes below listed actions:
- Monitors residual risks as well as occurrence of risk triggers.
- Evaluate effectiveness of risk management plan as well as implemented risk responses.
- Determines whether the project assumptions and project strategy are still valid.
- Ensure policies & procedures of risk management are being followed.
- Collect status of risks and timely communicate with stakeholders about it.
- Update risk report, risk register, risk management plan as well as risk response plan.
- Ensure that project manager is using appropriate risk management approach.
- Adjust contingency and management reserves.
Inputs, tools &
techniques and Outputs of this process are as below:
Inputs
|
Tools
& Techniques
|
Outputs
|
Project management
plan
Project documents Work performance data Work performance reports |
Data analysis
Audits Meetings |
Work performance
information
Project management plan Project documents updates Change requests Organizational process assets updates |
What are the uses of Risk Management tools?
Risk management tools are used for various important purpose, but it has major role in system engineering programs. Risk management tools come in many sizes and shapes based on requirements of the project.
- Supports implementation and execution of program risk management
- Used for threat analysis which mainly focuses on identifying, prioritizing and analysing risks to achieve defined objectives of the project.
- Used for budget risk analysis which tells us any affect seen on cost of the project by economical and technical risks.
- Used for investment risk analysis which helps us to identify, analyse and prioritize investments and any possible alternatives taking risk in consideration.
Which are the areas that overall Risk Management process should include?
The overall risk management should include
following principles or target areas:
- Should be systematic, structured and integral part of the overall organizational process.
- Should be clear, transparent and has capability to create value for an organization.
- Should based on filtered available data and should be adaptable to change.
- Should be tailored to the project and explicitly address any uncertainty.
- Should be continuously monitored and follows decision making process of an organization.
Conclusion
Risk management helps project manager
to be prepared by minimizing likelihood or impact of negative risks and
maximizing likelihood and impact of positive risks. By implementing proper risk
management process, an organization can save cost and protect their future. This
article is also most beneficial for the candidates who are preparing for Project Management Professional (PMP) examination.
Share your views/questions about this
article in the comment box below which would be highly appreciated and of
course, you can also contact me on my email id: sdeepak222@gmail.com.
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Thank you for taking time reading this
article.
Thank you very much for this amazing article and great overview about the topic of risk management. Only one thing to add: As I've seen it in this blog post, "Rogue Employees" can be a risk factor, too.
ReplyThanks for your nice and positive comments
Reply